Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 48.4% vs Novak 46.5% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 59.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 53.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Schmaltz
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (133)
43.2% (118)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.1% (89)
47.8% (23)
+7.3%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Schmaltz shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Novak
Home
41.6% (125)
50.7% (71)
Away
54.4% (114)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Schmaltz
Novak
P1
40.0%
44.7%
P2
59.5%
50.0%
P3
45.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.7%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
44.0%