Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Novak 45.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 61.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 68.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Schmaltz
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schmaltz
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Schmaltz
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
43.8% (384)
-6.1%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
58.8% (17)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Novak
Home
34.7% (49)
46.5% (202)
Away
45.1% (51)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Schmaltz
Novak
P1
25.9%
49.2%
P2
46.2%
44.2%
P3
42.1%
40.0%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
40.0%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |