Nick Schmaltz vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 61.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 74.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 58.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Schmaltz
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
58.6% (597)
-10.5%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
57.9% (57)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
51.9% (52)
+6.9%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Home
49.0% (206)
59.6% (344)
Away
49.4% (170)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Schmaltz
Karlsson
P1
53.6%
53.1%
P2
46.2%
62.1%
P3
50.4%
60.1%
OT
16.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | William Karlsson |