Nick Schmaltz vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 28-27 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 60.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 78.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 60.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
27
(55 meetings)
28
27
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Last 10: Schmaltz 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
16
4
Schmaltz
Karlsson
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
13
Schmaltz
Karlsson
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
9
10
Schmaltz
Karlsson
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
51.8% (7,849)
-10.6%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
54.8% (1,048)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
44.2% (1,109)
+3.6%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Schmaltz shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Home
42.7% (2,089)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Schmaltz
Karlsson
P1
41.1%
50.3%
P2
42.9%
51.3%
P3
43.0%
52.4%
OT
42.4%
44.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | William Karlsson |