Nick Schmaltz vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 78.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Schmaltz
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
58.5% (135)
-12.6%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
80.0% (5)
-33.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Schmaltz shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Karlsson
Home
44.7% (409)
63.7% (91)
Away
47.6% (391)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Schmaltz
Karlsson
P1
40.3%
54.4%
P2
47.6%
66.7%
P3
51.0%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%