Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Johnston 50.1% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.8%
Defensive zone
Johnston 75.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 52.9%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Schmaltz
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
50.7% (552)
-12.2%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
61.5% (13)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
43.5% (69)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Schmaltz shoots right. Johnston is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Johnston
Home
38.0% (184)
50.3% (342)
Away
43.5% (216)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Schmaltz
Johnston
P1
40.3%
54.4%
P2
39.9%
47.2%
P3
40.7%
49.4%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%