Nick Schmaltz vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Johnston 49.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 67.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 84.8%
Neutral zone
Johnston 70.7%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Schmaltz
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Schmaltz
Johnston
Last 10: Schmaltz 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
7
3
Schmaltz
Johnston
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
4
Schmaltz
Johnston
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
49.3% (2,189)
-8.1%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
52.6% (173)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
44.7% (237)
+3.1%
On even strength, Johnston has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Johnston is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Johnston
Home
42.7% (2,089)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Schmaltz
Johnston
P1
41.1%
50.1%
P2
42.9%
48.3%
P3
43.0%
48.8%
OT
42.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
42.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |