Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 54.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 84.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 70.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Cirelli
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Cirelli
Suzuki
Last 10: Cirelli 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
8
Cirelli
Suzuki
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Cirelli
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
51.3% (904)
-0.9%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
49.8% (265)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
36.8% (57)
-0.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Suzuki
Home
54.2% (395)
50.6% (603)
Away
45.0% (509)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Cirelli
Suzuki
P1
50.8%
52.3%
P2
50.0%
47.5%
P3
46.6%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |