Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 59.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hayton
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hayton
Suzuki
Last 7: Hayton 1-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Hayton
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Hayton
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
51.3% (904)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
49.8% (265)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
36.8% (57)
+0.0%
On power play, Hayton has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Hayton
Suzuki
Home
56.9% (432)
50.6% (603)
Away
47.4% (344)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Hayton
Suzuki
P1
53.1%
52.3%
P2
50.3%
47.5%
P3
55.4%
51.1%
OT
25.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |