Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Suzuki 46.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 54.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 88.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 83.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Ryan
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Ryan
Suzuki
Last 5: Ryan 5-0 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
46.6% (582)
+7.5%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
45.0% (60)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
41.2% (17)
+4.7%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Ryan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Ryan shoots right. Suzuki is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Ryan
Suzuki
Home
52.5% (341)
46.0% (350)
Away
52.2% (391)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Ryan
Suzuki
P1
56.0%
47.6%
P2
48.1%
45.7%
P3
52.8%
46.6%
OT
33.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |