Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 56.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 73.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 51.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Jankowski
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jankowski
Suzuki
Last 6: Jankowski 2-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Jankowski
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Jankowski
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
50.3% (1,075)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.3% (219)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
43.1% (116)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Suzuki
Home
45.3% (64)
53.6% (711)
Away
49.6% (115)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Jankowski
Suzuki
P1
53.7%
48.5%
P2
45.8%
51.7%
P3
43.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |