Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 54.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
McTavish
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McTavish
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
McTavish
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
51.3% (904)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
49.8% (265)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
36.8% (57)
-3.5%
On power play, McTavish has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
McTavish
Suzuki
Home
52.2% (389)
50.6% (603)
Away
45.1% (335)
50.1% (623)
By Period
McTavish
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
47.9%
47.5%
P3
49.0%
51.1%
OT
40.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |