Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Sturm 55.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 78.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 65.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 54.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Suzuki
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Suzuki
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Suzuki
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Suzuki
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
56.1% (716)
-9.1%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
67.7% (31)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
51.1% (133)
-4.5%
On power play, Sturm has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Sturm
Home
49.4% (686)
55.6% (412)
Away
45.3% (715)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Suzuki
Sturm
P1
45.6%
59.6%
P2
46.9%
52.0%
P3
49.8%
55.5%
OT
38.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |