Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Sturm 56.1% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 74.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 82.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 54.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Suzuki
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Suzuki
Sturm
Last 10: Suzuki 5-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
1
Suzuki
Sturm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
5
Suzuki
Sturm
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
57.1% (2,719)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
61.3% (62)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
51.0% (498)
-7.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Sturm
Home
51.0% (3,997)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Suzuki
Sturm
P1
48.8%
56.5%
P2
49.1%
54.9%
P3
50.2%
57.4%
OT
44.4%
60.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |