Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Sturm 57.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 73.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 85.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 59.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Suzuki
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Suzuki
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Suzuki
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
62.1% (356)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
75.0% (4)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
38.7% (62)
-2.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Sturm
Home
53.2% (645)
61.8% (191)
Away
50.1% (673)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Suzuki
Sturm
P1
48.9%
58.0%
P2
51.5%
57.9%
P3
54.9%
60.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |