Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Cates 40.4% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 87.6%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 62.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 79.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Suzuki
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Suzuki
Cates
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
0
Suzuki
Cates
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
3
Suzuki
Cates
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
3
4
Suzuki
Cates
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
40.4% (841)
+6.6%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
42.4% (66)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
32.7% (147)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Cates
Home
49.4% (686)
38.2% (566)
Away
45.3% (715)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Suzuki
Cates
P1
45.6%
40.5%
P2
46.9%
42.4%
P3
49.8%
35.3%
OT
38.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 19, 2022 | OT | 03:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |