Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Cates 45.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 97.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 62.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 84.9%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Suzuki
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Suzuki
Cates
Last 10: Suzuki 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
2
Suzuki
Cates
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
3
Suzuki
Cates
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
2
Suzuki
Cates
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
46.7% (912)
+5.7%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
33.9% (56)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
35.0% (137)
+1.4%
On power play, Suzuki has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Cates
Home
53.2% (645)
46.1% (521)
Away
50.1% (673)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Suzuki
Cates
P1
48.9%
48.0%
P2
51.5%
42.3%
P3
54.9%
44.3%
OT
25.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Noah Cates |