Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Cates 43.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 26-21 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 86.0%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 59.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 69.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Suzuki
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
21
(47 meetings)
26
21
Suzuki
Cates
Last 10: Suzuki 3-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
11
3
Suzuki
Cates
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
5
7
Suzuki
Cates
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
10
11
Suzuki
Cates
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
44.1% (2,742)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
43.0% (242)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
34.9% (373)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Cates is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,073).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Cates
Home
51.0% (3,997)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Suzuki
Cates
P1
48.8%
44.5%
P2
49.1%
43.5%
P3
50.2%
41.2%
OT
44.4%
29.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Noah Cates |