Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Greig 44.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 54.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 50.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.5%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Suzuki
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Suzuki
Greig
Last 7: Suzuki 3-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Suzuki
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Suzuki
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
38.8% (103)
+8.2%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
60.0% (5)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
0.0% (1)
+46.6%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Greig is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Greig
Home
49.4% (686)
37.7% (53)
Away
45.3% (715)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Suzuki
Greig
P1
45.6%
41.7%
P2
46.9%
39.3%
P3
49.8%
37.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |