Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.7%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Greig 48.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 32-18 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 52.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 88.1%
Neutral zone
Greig 63.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Suzuki
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
32
(50 meetings)
18
32
Suzuki
Greig
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
11
3
Suzuki
Greig
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
4
22
Suzuki
Greig
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
3
7
Suzuki
Greig
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
48.5% (1,133)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
56.8% (74)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
46.5% (172)
-2.9%
On power play, Greig has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Greig
Home
51.0% (3,997)
49.8% (681)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Suzuki
Greig
P1
48.8%
46.3%
P2
49.1%
51.2%
P3
50.2%
48.8%
OT
44.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |