Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.8%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Greig 50.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 73.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 81.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 57.0%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Suzuki
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Suzuki
Greig
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
1
Suzuki
Greig
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
7
Suzuki
Greig
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
51.5% (336)
-0.2%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
66.7% (24)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
43.2% (81)
-6.4%
On power play, Greig has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Suzuki shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Greig
Home
50.6% (603)
50.2% (247)
Away
50.1% (623)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Suzuki
Greig
P1
52.3%
46.9%
P2
47.5%
58.8%
P3
51.1%
48.3%
OT
48.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |