Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Monahan 52.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 59.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 62.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Suzuki
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Suzuki
Monahan
Last 5: Suzuki 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Suzuki
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
53.2% (823)
-1.9%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
55.3% (159)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
48.4% (95)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Suzuki shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Monahan
Home
50.6% (603)
54.6% (529)
Away
50.1% (623)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Suzuki
Monahan
P1
52.3%
49.0%
P2
47.5%
55.4%
P3
51.1%
53.6%
OT
48.6%
61.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |