Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 74.1%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 53.0%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Suzuki
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Suzuki
Monahan
Last 7: Suzuki 5-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Suzuki
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
0
Suzuki
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
51.5% (641)
-1.2%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
62.8% (129)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
33.3% (9)
+9.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Suzuki shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Monahan
Home
53.6% (711)
53.9% (362)
Away
45.5% (699)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Suzuki
Monahan
P1
48.5%
48.0%
P2
51.7%
57.0%
P3
49.0%
54.1%
OT
43.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |