Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 34-26 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 61.9%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 63.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 62.9%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Suzuki
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
34
(60 meetings)
26
34
Suzuki
Monahan
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
9
Suzuki
Monahan
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
20
Suzuki
Monahan
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
9
5
Suzuki
Monahan
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
51.1% (11,356)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
53.7% (2,580)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
46.0% (766)
-2.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Monahan
Home
51.0% (3,997)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Suzuki
Monahan
P1
48.8%
50.9%
P2
49.1%
51.7%
P3
50.2%
51.0%
OT
44.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | OT | 00:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |