Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Monahan 52.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 62.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Suzuki
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Suzuki
Monahan
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
9
Suzuki
Monahan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Suzuki
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
52.4% (853)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
58.6% (174)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
46.5% (144)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Monahan
Home
53.2% (645)
53.4% (624)
Away
50.1% (673)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Suzuki
Monahan
P1
48.9%
53.7%
P2
51.5%
52.4%
P3
54.9%
51.6%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | OT | 00:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |