Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Suzuki
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Suzuki
Karlsson
Last 7: Suzuki 4-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Suzuki
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
51.4% (735)
-1.1%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
63.5% (115)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
42.9% (133)
+0.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Suzuki shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Karlsson
Home
53.6% (711)
52.3% (524)
Away
45.5% (699)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Suzuki
Karlsson
P1
48.5%
50.7%
P2
51.7%
51.4%
P3
49.0%
53.2%
OT
43.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |