Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 69.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 65.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Suzuki
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Suzuki
Karlsson
Last 10: Suzuki 8-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
0
Suzuki
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
1
Suzuki
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
56.3% (739)
-5.0%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
58.6% (181)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
47.2% (53)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Suzuki shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Karlsson
Home
54.2% (638)
56.5% (462)
Away
51.0% (673)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Suzuki
Karlsson
P1
51.5%
57.1%
P2
53.3%
55.2%
P3
52.4%
56.7%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 30, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |