Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 71.1%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 80.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 71.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Suzuki
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Suzuki
Karlsson
Last 10: Suzuki 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Suzuki
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
4
Suzuki
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
55.3% (897)
-8.3%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
61.1% (113)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
50.8% (132)
-4.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Karlsson
Home
49.4% (686)
58.6% (560)
Away
45.3% (715)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Suzuki
Karlsson
P1
45.6%
55.8%
P2
46.9%
55.6%
P3
49.8%
55.7%
OT
38.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | William Karlsson |