Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 93.2%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 55.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 79.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Suzuki
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
43.2% (146)
+8.1%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
50.0% (2)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
44.8% (29)
-8.0%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Suzuki shoots right. Girgensons is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Girgensons
Home
50.6% (603)
40.3% (72)
Away
50.1% (623)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Suzuki
Girgensons
P1
52.3%
43.8%
P2
47.5%
44.6%
P3
51.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |