Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.5% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 92.2%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 65.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 87.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Suzuki
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (701)
36.2% (94)
+14.3%
Power Play
50.0% (212)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (55)
41.2% (17)
-6.7%
On power play, Suzuki has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (702).
Suzuki shoots right. Girgensons is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Girgensons
Home
49.6% (486)
38.0% (50)
Away
49.4% (482)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Suzuki
Girgensons
P1
51.1%
43.2%
P2
46.0%
34.3%
P3
51.6%
32.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.5%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |