Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Girgensons 46.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 74.9%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 52.0%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 55.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Suzuki
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Suzuki
Girgensons
Last 6: Suzuki 5-1 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
45.3% (128)
+1.7%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
50.0% (4)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
45.3% (75)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Girgensons is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Girgensons
Home
49.4% (686)
41.0% (100)
Away
45.3% (715)
49.5% (107)
By Period
Suzuki
Girgensons
P1
45.6%
41.9%
P2
46.9%
53.9%
P3
49.8%
40.0%
OT
38.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
32.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | OT | 02:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |