Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 49.8%). Look for Girgensons on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Girgensons 49.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 69.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 67.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.4%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Suzuki
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Suzuki
Girgensons
Last 7: Suzuki 3-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Girgensons
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
3
Suzuki
Girgensons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
49.0% (210)
+1.3%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
63.6% (22)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
47.3% (55)
-4.2%
On power play, Girgensons has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Suzuki shoots right. Girgensons is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Girgensons
Home
53.6% (711)
52.1% (142)
Away
45.5% (699)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Suzuki
Girgensons
P1
48.5%
54.3%
P2
51.7%
49.1%
P3
49.0%
44.8%
OT
43.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |