Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.6%). Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.3% vs Backstrom 48.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 51.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 53.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 50.7%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hayes
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Hayes
Backstrom
Last 10: Hayes 1-9 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
4
Hayes
Backstrom
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
3
Hayes
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
4
Hayes
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (764)
48.5% (1,151)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.3% (90)
50.0% (176)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (127)
48.2% (112)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Hayes shoots left. Backstrom is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Hayes
Backstrom
Home
49.0% (531)
50.8% (783)
Away
49.6% (450)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Hayes
Backstrom
P1
52.3%
49.3%
P2
45.8%
46.6%
P3
50.2%
50.1%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2018 | OT | 00:23 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |