Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Backstrom 49.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 55.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Hayes
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Hayes
Backstrom
Last 10: Hayes 9-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Backstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
1
Hayes
Backstrom
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
50.0% (854)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
44.6% (148)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
50.0% (46)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Hayes shoots left. Backstrom is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Hayes
Backstrom
Home
52.0% (404)
52.2% (506)
Away
48.6% (422)
46.5% (542)
By Period
Hayes
Backstrom
P1
50.7%
45.3%
P2
50.2%
46.9%
P3
49.8%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:02 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |