Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backstrom wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.3% vs Carrick 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 69.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 76.3%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 53.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Backstrom
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Backstrom
Carrick
Last 8: Backstrom 3-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
0
Backstrom
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Backstrom
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Backstrom
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (473)
49.2% (307)
+2.2%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
66.7% (6)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
48.2% (56)
-14.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Backstrom shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Carrick
Home
53.6% (278)
50.3% (175)
Away
46.6% (236)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Backstrom
Carrick
P1
51.5%
41.0%
P2
56.0%
51.2%
P3
43.5%
55.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |