Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.1% vs Carrick 53.0% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 69.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 56.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Backstrom
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (77)
53.9% (521)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
57.1% (35)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.5% (229)
-51.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Backstrom is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Backstrom shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Carrick
Home
54.5% (55)
52.7% (408)
Away
48.3% (29)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Backstrom
Carrick
P1
50.0%
51.4%
P2
52.9%
56.6%
P3
55.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
55.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%