Nicklas Backstrom vs Sam Carrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs Carrick 52.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 82.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 71.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 57.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Backstrom
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Backstrom
Carrick
Last 8: Backstrom 3-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
0
Backstrom
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Backstrom
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Backstrom
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
52.1% (2,513)
-1.7%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
61.3% (75)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
50.7% (430)
-3.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Backstrom shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Carrick
Home
52.6% (7,223)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Backstrom
Carrick
P1
50.1%
51.8%
P2
49.7%
52.2%
P3
51.6%
52.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |