Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Hischier 55.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 72.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 73.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 69.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
McBain
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
McBain
Hischier
Last 9: McBain 2-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
McBain
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
McBain
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
55.8% (1,228)
-4.6%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
62.1% (282)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
47.6% (267)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
McBain
Hischier
Home
53.6% (235)
56.5% (867)
Away
46.0% (224)
54.6% (910)
By Period
McBain
Hischier
P1
48.6%
57.9%
P2
50.9%
55.9%
P3
50.0%
52.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |