Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Hischier 45.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 74.9%
Defensive zone
Hischier 73.8%
Neutral zone
Hischier 81.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Carter
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Carter
Hischier
Last 6: Carter 1-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Carter
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Carter
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Carter
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
45.1% (879)
+4.8%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
50.0% (68)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
36.8% (19)
+9.9%
On power play, Carter has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Carter shoots right. Hischier is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Carter
Hischier
Home
52.4% (638)
42.7% (499)
Away
50.0% (546)
48.0% (467)
By Period
Carter
Hischier
P1
49.6%
48.2%
P2
50.9%
40.7%
P3
53.0%
46.4%
OT
58.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |