Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.6% vs 42.9%). Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Barzal wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 43.4% vs Hischier 43.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 51.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 64.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 57.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Barzal
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Barzal
Hischier
Last 10: Barzal 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
Barzal
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
8
Barzal
Hischier
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (813)
42.4% (912)
-0.1%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
51.2% (43)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
46.4% (28)
+53.6%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Barzal shoots right. Hischier is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Barzal
Hischier
Home
44.3% (436)
44.6% (507)
Away
40.7% (398)
41.2% (476)
By Period
Barzal
Hischier
P1
39.7%
47.6%
P2
44.3%
39.9%
P3
44.2%
41.3%
OT
33.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
39.6%
34.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |