Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.5% vs Roy 52.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 76.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 52.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Hischier
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Hischier
Roy
Last 10: Hischier 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Hischier
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,321)
52.3% (589)
+3.0%
Power Play
63.6% (291)
50.0% (40)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (196)
53.3% (92)
-6.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hischier is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (669).
Hischier shoots left. Roy is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Hischier
Roy
Home
56.8% (901)
55.1% (350)
Away
54.7% (907)
49.6% (371)
By Period
Hischier
Roy
P1
55.4%
53.4%
P2
58.1%
51.1%
P3
54.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
48.0%▼
56.0%
55.8%
Roy
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |