Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Roy 51.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 85.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 66.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Hischier
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Hischier
Roy
Last 10: Hischier 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Hischier
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
51.9% (547)
+3.1%
Power Play
63.1% (252)
54.1% (37)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
53.3% (92)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Hischier shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Hischier
Roy
Home
56.5% (763)
54.0% (328)
Away
54.0% (745)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Hischier
Roy
P1
56.0%
53.5%
P2
57.6%
51.6%
P3
53.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |