Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Roy 47.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 54.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Hischier
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hischier
Roy
Last 6: Hischier 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
1
Hischier
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Hischier
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
48.6% (679)
+7.2%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
48.0% (50)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
34.7% (49)
+12.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Hischier shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Hischier
Roy
Home
56.5% (867)
49.3% (345)
Away
54.6% (910)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Hischier
Roy
P1
57.9%
47.6%
P2
55.9%
47.1%
P3
52.7%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |