Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Roy 47.2% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 87.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 72.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Hischier
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hischier
Roy
Last 6: Hischier 2-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
1
Hischier
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Hischier
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
47.5% (617)
+8.6%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
39.6% (53)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
46.4% (97)
+4.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Hischier shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Hischier
Roy
Home
56.5% (706)
47.2% (398)
Away
56.7% (681)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Hischier
Roy
P1
54.8%
48.6%
P2
57.8%
48.8%
P3
57.6%
43.9%
OT
14.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |