Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.6% vs Roy 48.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 87.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 60.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 67.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Hischier
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Hischier
Roy
Last 10: Hischier 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
12
3
Hischier
Roy
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
8
Hischier
Roy
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
2
Hischier
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (8,379)
48.7% (3,719)
+2.8%
Power Play
59.7% (1,736)
49.5% (283)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (903)
45.5% (477)
+3.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Hischier shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Hischier
Roy
Home
53.0% (5,449)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
52.2% (5,569)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Hischier
Roy
P1
52.9%
50.8%
P2
52.4%
46.3%
P3
52.6%
48.1%
OT
50.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |