Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Cates 40.4% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 84.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 55.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 67.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Hischier
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Hischier
Cates
Last 10: Hischier 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
3
Hischier
Cates
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
4
Hischier
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
40.4% (841)
+12.0%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
42.4% (66)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
32.7% (147)
+24.4%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Hischier shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Hischier
Cates
Home
53.4% (844)
38.2% (566)
Away
54.3% (810)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Hischier
Cates
P1
49.7%
40.5%
P2
54.6%
42.4%
P3
56.1%
35.3%
OT
65.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |