Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.6% vs Cates 43.2% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 28-13 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 98.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 90.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 91.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Hischier
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
13
(41 meetings)
28
13
Hischier
Cates
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
14
1
Hischier
Cates
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
7
4
Hischier
Cates
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
7
8
Hischier
Cates
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (8,379)
44.1% (2,742)
+7.4%
Power Play
59.7% (1,736)
43.0% (242)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (903)
34.9% (373)
+14.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Hischier shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Hischier
Cates
Home
53.0% (5,449)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
52.2% (5,569)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Hischier
Cates
P1
52.9%
44.5%
P2
52.4%
43.5%
P3
52.6%
41.2%
OT
50.6%
29.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |