Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hischier wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Cates 45.1% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 93.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 80.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 81.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Hischier
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Hischier
Cates
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
6
1
Hischier
Cates
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hischier
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
46.7% (912)
+9.1%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
33.9% (56)
+28.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
35.0% (137)
+12.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Hischier shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Hischier
Cates
Home
56.5% (867)
46.1% (521)
Away
54.6% (910)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Hischier
Cates
P1
57.9%
48.0%
P2
55.9%
42.3%
P3
52.7%
44.3%
OT
66.7%
31.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |