Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Hischier wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 43.6% vs Carpenter 50.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 71.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 58.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 52.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Hischier
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hischier
Carpenter
Last 7: Hischier 3-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hischier
Carpenter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Hischier
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (912)
48.4% (314)
-6.0%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
60.0% (5)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
57.0% (79)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Hischier is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Hischier shoots left. Carpenter is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carpenter
Home
44.6% (507)
55.8% (197)
Away
41.2% (476)
44.8% (201)
By Period
Hischier
Carpenter
P1
47.6%
48.3%
P2
39.9%
47.8%
P3
41.3%
54.6%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.6%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
42.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |