Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.5%). Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 51.9% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 74.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 75.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 61.1%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Hischier
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Hischier
Carpenter
Last 10: Hischier 4-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
0
Hischier
Carpenter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
4
Hischier
Carpenter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Hischier
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,011)
53.2% (299)
-2.2%
Power Play
58.2% (261)
33.3% (3)
+24.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (130)
46.5% (86)
+1.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Hischier is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (544).
Hischier shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carpenter
Home
52.8% (665)
54.6% (207)
Away
51.4% (737)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Hischier
Carpenter
P1
53.8%
52.3%
P2
53.8%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
50.8%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |