Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 94.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 65.8%
Neutral zone
Hischier 71.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Hischier
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hischier
Carpenter
Last 6: Hischier 5-1 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
0
Hischier
Carpenter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Hischier
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
48.8% (404)
+7.3%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
100.0% (1)
-40.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
43.6% (101)
+7.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Hischier shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carpenter
Home
56.5% (706)
48.9% (274)
Away
56.7% (681)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Hischier
Carpenter
P1
54.8%
51.9%
P2
57.8%
49.4%
P3
57.6%
41.8%
OT
14.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |