Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.0%). Hischier wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 63.7%
Defensive zone
Hischier 54.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 57.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Hischier
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hischier
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
53.1% (113)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
100.0% (1)
-42.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
60.0% (10)
-2.9%
On power play, Carpenter has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Hischier shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carpenter
Home
53.4% (844)
58.5% (65)
Away
54.3% (810)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Hischier
Carpenter
P1
49.7%
65.8%
P2
54.6%
50.0%
P3
56.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |